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Maximum likelihood estimation for Pareto observations

Explore the concept of Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) in the Pareto distribution. Likelihood equation, likelihood function.

 MLE for Pareto distribution 

The pdf of Pareto distribution is given by:

`f(x; \alpha, \lambda) = \frac{\alpha \lambda^\alpha}{x^{\alpha+1}} \quad \text{for } x \geq \lambda.`

`f(x_i, \alpha, \lambda) = \frac{\alpha \lambda^\alpha}{x_i^{\alpha+1}} \cdot I(x_i \geq \lambda), \quad x_i \in \mathbb{R} ` 

Writing the likelihood function 

`L(\alpha, \lambda) = \prod_{i=1}^n f(x_i , \alpha, \lambda)`

`\Rightarrow L(\alpha, \lambda) = \prod_{i=1}^n \left( \frac{\alpha \lambda^\alpha}{x_i^{\alpha+1}} \cdot I(x_(i) \geq \lambda) \right)`

`= L(\alpha, \lambda) = \alpha^n \lambda^{n\alpha} \prod_{i=1}^n \frac{1}{x_i^{\alpha+1}} \cdot \prod_{i=1}^n I(x_(i)\geq \lambda)`

Finding the calculus for MLE in Pareto Distribution will be easy if we optimize it by taking log both sides because it is also a increasing function.

`= \log L(\alpha, \lambda) = n \log \alpha + n \alpha \log \lambda - (\alpha+1) \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i + \sum_{i=1}^n \log I(x_i \geq \lambda)`

`= \log L(\alpha, \lambda) = n \log \alpha + n \alpha \log \lambda - (\alpha+1) \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i + \log \left[ \prod_{i=1}^n I(x_(i) \geq \lambda) \right]`

1. To maximize `log(x|\alpha, \lambda)` we need to maximize 
`\alpha nlog(\lambda) \Rightarrow ` need to maximize `\lambda`.

2. Maximize `log[I(X_{(1)} > \lambda)] \Rightarrow \lambda < X_{(1)}`.

So the MLE of 
`\hat \lambda_{MLE} = X_{(1)}.`

Now differentiate the likelihood function with respect to `\alpha`


`= \frac{\partial \log L(\alpha, \lambda)}{\partial \alpha} = \frac{n}{\alpha} + n \log \lambda - \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i`

Now putting this above equation equal to zero 

`\Rightarrow \frac{\partial \log L(\alpha, \lambda)}{\partial \alpha} =0`

`\Rightarrow \frac{n}{\alpha} + n \log \lambda - \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i=0`

`=>\frac{n}{\alpha} = \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i - n \log \lambda`

`= n = \alpha \left( \sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i - n \log \lambda \right)`

`= \alpha = \frac{n}{\sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i - n \log \lambda}`

`\alpha= \frac{n}{\sum_{i=1}^n \log x_i - n \log (X_{(1)})}`

` \alpha= \frac{n}{n \bar{log(x_n)} - n \log (X_{(1)})}`

=>`\hat \alpha_{MLE} = \frac{1}{ \bar{log(x_n)} - \log (X_{(1)})}`

So the joint MLE for the parameters `\alpha and \lambda` in Pareto distribution is

`(\hat \lambda, \hat \alpha) = \left( X_{(1)}, \frac{1}{\bar{\log x} - \log X_{(1)}} \right)`

MLE for Pareto Distribution

MLE Estimation and Log-Likelihood Contour for Pareto Distribution

Log-Likelihood Contour for Pareto Distribution

MLE Estimation for Pareto Distribution

Python code for Python code for Pareto Distribution Pareto Distribution Code Block

# Python program to plot the Pareto distribution curve
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.stats import pareto

# Parameters for the Pareto distribution
alpha = 3  # Shape parameter
scale = 1  # Scale parameter

# Generate x values
x = np.linspace(1, 5, 1000)

# Pareto PDF values
y = pareto.pdf(x, alpha, scale=scale)

# Plot the Pareto distribution curve
plt.plot(x, y, label='Pareto Distribution', color='orange')
plt.title('Pareto Distribution Curve')
plt.xlabel('x')
plt.ylabel('Density')
plt.legend()
plt.grid(True)

# Show the plot
plt.show()

        

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